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Arnie · 2022年11月06日

关于A与C的解释?

NO.PZ2021120102000033

问题如下:

An active fixed-income manager is evaluating the relative performance of an investment-grade corporate versus a high-yield corporate debt allocation in a fixed-income portfolio.

Which of the following analytical model assumption changes is most likely to reduce the future value of the high-yield portfolio relative to the investment-grade holdings?

选项:

A.

Steepening of the benchmark yield volatility curve.

B.

Decreased likelihood of an economic slowdown.

C.

Increased likelihood of a flight to quality associated with bullish benchmark yield curve flattening (long-term rates fall by more than short-term rates do).

解释:

C is correct. Under a “flight to quality” scenario, macroeconomic factors driving government bond YTMs lower cause high-yield bond credit spreads to rise because of an increased likelihood of and expected higher severity of financial distress.

This relationship is captured in the difference between empirical and analytical duration measures.

---A选项Steepening of the benchmark yield volatility curve.

可以理解为volatility的上升会对 HYB和IGB都会有影响,不能使得两者有明显的区分?



---C选项Increased likelihood of a flight to quality associated with bullish benchmark yield curve flattening (long-term rates fall by more than short-term rates do).

前面的Increased likelihood of a flight to quality可以理解,但是with。。。后面的加上去有点不知道想要表达什么

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2022年11月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这道题问的是什么时候HYB相对于IG的价值下降,那么有两个结论要记住:经济表现好时,HYB相对IG的价值上升,经济表现差时,HYB相对于IG的价值下降,所以,这道题的问题就变成了什么时候经济会变差。

A选项:收益率波动率曲线变陡,收益率波动率曲线与收益率曲线是两回事,收益率波动率曲线变陡,意味着短期波动率下降,也就是短期风险下降,是经济变好的迹象;收益率曲线变陡,意味着短期利率下降,是经济变差的迹象。所以,A选项说收益率波动率曲线变陡,意味着经济表现好而不是表现差,



C选项:收益率曲线bull flatten,长期利率较短期利率下降更多,意味着当前经济状况变差,且市场预期长期经济也不会有好转,同时,根据前半部分的flight to quality(投资方向为安全资产)也暗示经济变差,所以,C选项正确。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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