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410140980 · 2022年11月03日

A为什么不对

NO.PZ2016070202000015

问题如下:

Brenda Williams is a risk analyst who wants to model the dependence between asset returns using copulas and must convince her manager that this is the best approach. Which of the following statements are correct?

I. The dependence between the return distributions of portfolio assets is critical for risk measurement.

II. Correlation estimates often appear stable in periods of low market volatility and then become volatile in stressed market conditions. Risk measures calculated using correlations estimated over long horizons will therefore underestimate risk in stressed periods.

III. Pearson correlation (ρ) is a linear measure of dependence between the return of two assets equal to the ratio of the covariance of the asset returns to the product of their volatilities.

IV. Using copulas, one can construct joint return distribution functions from marginal distribution functions in a way that allows for more general types of dependence structure of the asset returns.

选项:

A.

I, II, and III

B.

II and IV

C.

I, II, III, and IV

D.

I, III, and IV

解释:

D is correct. The dependence is critical, so statement I. is correct. The usual Pearson correlation is a linear measure of dependence, so statement III. is correct. Statement IV. is also correct. For statement II., correlations indeed change over stressed periods, but it is not clear whether this biases long-term correlations upward or downward. Also, the effect on the portfolio risk depends on the positioning. Hence, there is not enough information to support statement II.

老师解析不是说A对的吗?那应该四个表述都对啊

1 个答案
已采纳答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2022年11月03日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这个题我们不选A呀,我们选的D,也就是说II是错的,其他都是对的。

II说在危机时候,correlation会变得更volatile,因此再用长期数据估计危机时刻的correlation时会低估。

这个是不一定的,在2005年的危机时,correlation是下降了的,所以用长期数据估计correlation时不一定会低估,也有可能高估。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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NO.PZ2016070202000015问题如下 Bren Williams is a risk analyst who wants to mol the pennbetween asset returns using copulanmust convinher manager ththis is the best approach. Whiof the following statements are correct?I. The pennbetween the return stributions of portfolio assets is criticfor risk measurement.II. Correlation estimates often appestable in perio of low market volatility anthen become volatile in stressemarket contions. Risk measures calculateusing correlations estimateover long horizons will therefore unrestimate risk in stresseperio.III. Pearson correlation (ρ) is a linemeasure of pennbetween the return of two assets equto the ratio of the covarianof the asset returns to the proof their volatilities.IV. Using copulas, one cconstrujoint return stribution functions from marginstribution functions in a wthallows for more genertypes of pennstructure of the asset returns.A.I, II, anIIIB.II anIVC.I, II, III, anIVI, III, anIVis correct. The pennis critical, so statement I. is correct. The usuPearson correlation is a linemeasure of pennce, so statement III. is correct. Statement IV. is also correct. For statement II., correlations inechange over stresseperio, but it is not clewhether this biases long-term correlations upwaror wnwar Also, the effeon the portfolio risk pen on the positioning. Hence, there is not enough information to support statement II.老师,allows for more genertypes of pennstructure of the asset returns,是什么意思,是指原来累积概率分布G直接的相关性结构么?还是指转换为标准正态分布函数后的相关性结构?

2022-04-09 21:38 1 · 回答

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2022-03-22 20:31 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2016070202000015 请问 Pearson correlation (ρ) is a linemeasure of pennbetween the return of two assets equto the ratio of the covarianof the asset returns to the proof their volatilities. 这个ratio of covarianto volatility 的结果不是β吗?

2021-11-09 09:57 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2016070202000015 以下个人理解,老师看看是否对 1.正常时期波动小,压力时候波动大,但是波动大可能导致ρ往下走得多,也可能导致ρ往上走得多。 2.正常时期ρ小,压力时期ρ大,这个只是大部分情况来说是这样,特殊情况有可能压力时期ρ减小? 3.考虑ρ变大或者变小,还要考虑头寸的问题,例如全部投了equity,那么ρ变大反而是好的,风险会更小? 所以综上所述,statement II就是错的,对吗?

2021-05-05 11:49 2 · 回答