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wangjiawei074 · 2022年10月17日

老师,social proof bias不是个人更容易follow集体的beliefs,看答案感觉chair会倾向相信每个专家,没有感觉到是group beliefs。

NO.PZ2022052301000012

问题如下:

The committee, made up of five highly experienced investment professionals with extensive personal investment portfolios, meets weekly. the committee members have diverse backgrounds and contrasting personal investment styles. the committee chair insists that no opinions should be expressed until such time as the analysts presenting have made their investment case and given their investment recommendations. The chair also mandates that all presentations be made available to the committee well in advance of each meeting. At the most recent investment committee meeting, one of Arzac’s analysts, despite lacking confidence in his analysis, recommends a company he knows is held in the personal portfolios of the chair and other senior members of the committee.

What is the most likely criticism of Arzac’s investment committee? The committee:

选项:

A.

chair may dictate decisions

B.

is unlikely to reach group consensus

C.

exhibits social proof bias

解释:

The analyst who presents at the committee appears to be influenced by the status and prior comments made by the members of the investment committee. He may have wrongly favored the judgment or endorsement of committee members, which is an example of social proof bias.

A is incorrect. Given that the committee chair insists each analyst presents and gives their opinions before committee members indicates he will unlikely dictate the investment decisions.

B is incorrect because the chair requires all presentations to be made available to the committee well in advance of any meeting. Allowing the committee members to form opinions independently prior to the meeting will likely give rise to active discussions with varying viewpoints. Having members of an investment committee with diverse backgrounds and different investment styles can be viewed favorably in that it can help prevent groupthink. It does not necessary indicate they will not be able to reach a consensus.

老师,social proof bias不是个人更容易follow集体的beliefs,看答案感觉chair会倾向相信每个专家,没有感觉到是group beliefs。

2 个答案
已采纳答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2022年10月18日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1

选项 C 其实反映的对象,并不是委员会「主席」 chair,而是委员会「成员」 member

对应到案例背景,是题干「最后」一句话

在最近的投资委员会会议上,Arzac 的一位分析师,尽管对自己的分析缺乏信心,但还是推荐了一家公司,因为他知道,在委员会主席和其他高级成员的个人投资组合中,都持有这家公司

"At the most recent investment committee meeting, one of Arzac’s analysts, despite lacking confidence in his analysis, recommends a company he knows is held in the personal portfolios of the chair and other senior members of the committee."

分析师推荐股票,应该基于自己审慎的分析;但这位成员,推荐股票的理由,其实是缺乏分析的,仅仅因为主席和其他高级成员有持仓

所以像同学分析的,这位分析师更容易 follow 集体的 beliefs,所以反映了 social proof bias

2

咱们在介绍投资委员会的集体决策时,提到两类主体:主席和成员

这个案例背景,如果不看最后一句话,只看前面的内容,其实反映的都是组建投资委员会的推荐做法

先说了委员会成员的多元化背景,又说了主席的做法,其实都是鼓励支持成员表达更独立客观的分析

所以这道题,最核心的破题点,就在于最后一句话

关于投资委员会的组建,建议同学再复习一下基础班讲义墨迹版 P156 的框架哈

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

wangjiawei074 · 2022年10月25日

明白了,谢谢老师。

弓 · 2023年05月29日

这题确实挺厉害,前面给你啪啪啪一堆正确的内容,让你觉得“挺好啊”。最后来个不相干的事情,才是题眼所在。

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年05月30日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


@弓

这题确实挺厉害,前面给你啪啪啪一堆正确的内容,让你觉得“挺好啊”。最后来个不相干的事情,才是题眼所在。 

是的

但其实严谨的说,最后一句题干,也不算不相干哈,还是和讨论的主题相关的

这道题可能更多是提醒我们,做题时一定要把题干都看完,不能忽略题干中的信息

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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