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Leo 昊子 · 2022年10月09日

为什么持续性越弱,有效性越高?

NO.PZ2018091706000057

问题如下:

If the emerging market country used capital controls instead, this approach would:

选项:

A.

lead to a less independent monetary policy

B.

be more likely to succeed when capital flows are less persistent

C.

require that the ratio of foreign exchange reserves to FX market turnover be high

解释:

Although the empirical evidence is mixed, to a large extent the relativesuccess of capital controls depends on the magnitude and persistence of the capitalinflows that the policymakers are trying to resist (the less persistent, the higher theeffectiveness). A successful capital control policy tends to increase, not decrease,monetary policy independence. As a regulatory measure, capital controls do not dependdirectly on the level of foreign exchange reserves.

解析:尽管经验证据好坏参半,但在很大程度上,资本管控的有效力取决于政策制定者试图抵御的资本流入的规模和持续性(持续性越弱,有效性越高)。所以B选项正确。

一个成功的资本管控政策倾向于增加而不是减少货币政策的独立性。所以A选项错误。

作为一项监管措施,资本管制并不直接取决于外汇储备水平。所以C选项错误。


为什么持续性越弱,有效性越高?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年10月09日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


为什么持续性越弱,有效性越高?


Hello,亲爱的同学!


这题也可以从三元悖论的角度去理解。

三元悖论是指:资本自由流动,独立的货币政策,固定汇率,三者不可兼得。

根据该理论,当实行资本管制的时候,资本自由流动被限制(也就是解析里的资本流入的规模和持续性弱,资本管制有效),此时可以得到后两者,可以实行更独立的货币政策,以及相对固定的汇率。

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