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许晏宁 · 2022年10月04日

No.PZ2022071202000071 (选择题)

NO.PZ2022071202000071

问题如下:

Question
Use the following values from a student’s t-distribution to establish a 95% confidence interval for the population mean given a sample size of 10, a sample mean of 6.25, and a sample standard deviation of 12. Assume that the population from which the sample is drawn is normally distributed and that the population variance is not known.

The 95% confidence interval is closest to a:

选项:

A.lower bound of -2.20 and an upper bound of 14.70. B.lower bound of -0.71 and an upper bound of 13.21. C.lower bound of -2.33 and an upper bound of 14.83.

解释:

Solution

C is correct. With a sample size of 10, there are 9 degrees of freedom. The confidence interval concept is based on a two-tailed approach. For a 95% confidence interval, 2.5% of the distribution will be in each tail. Thus, the correct t-statistic to use is 2.262.

The confidence interval is calculated as:ˉX±t0.025 s/nwhere ˉX is the sample mean, s is the sample standard deviation, and n is the sample size. In this case: 6.25 ± 2.262 × 12/10 = 6.25 ± 8.58369 or -2.33 to 14.83.

A is incorrect: it uses the t-statistic for 10 degrees of freedom, not 9: 6.25 ± 2.228 × 12/10.

B is incorrect: it uses the t-statistic for p = 0.05 rather than p =0.025: 6.25 ± 1.833 × 12/10.

解析没看懂,可以请老师细讲一下吗?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年10月08日

同学你好,

本题要计算95%置信区间,代入公式:

其中由于总体方差未知,所以reliability factor选择t值。

本题给出的t表默认为和原版书一致的单尾t表。根据自由度n-1=10-1=9,和单尾面积2.5%(根据双尾总面积为1-95%=5%得到),对应出t的关键值为表中的2.262.

此时所有值都已知,代入公式后即可得到C选项。

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此后提问需具体说明是解析中的什么地方没有看懂,便于针对性回复。

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