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Lily · 2022年09月20日

请问为什么是term premium?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202105270100000405

问题如下:

Based on the building block approach to fixed-income returns, the dominant source of the yield spread for Country XYZ is most likely the:

选项:

A.term premium. B.credit premium. C.liquidity premium.

解释:

A is correct. From the building block approach to fixed-income returns, the required return for fixed-income asset classes has four components: the one-period default-free rate, the term premium, the credit premium, and the liquidity premium. Since sovereign bonds are considered the highest-quality bonds, they likely do not have a significant credit premium nor are they likely to have a significant premium for illiquidity. The slope of the yield curve is useful information on which to base forecasts of the term premium. Therefore, the dominant source of the yield spread is most likely the term premium for XYZ’s sovereign bond.

In addition to expected monetary actions that will raise short-term rates, the yield spread between three-year sovereign bonds and the next highest-quality government agency bond widened by 10 bps.这句话里面的next highest-quality government agency bond指的是什么期限呢?

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笛子_品职助教 · 2022年09月21日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学。这里的次高等级政府机构债的期限,是3年期的。


the yield spread between three-year sovereign bonds and the next highest-quality government agency bond widened by 10 bps

这句话的意思是,3年期的国债和次高等级政府机构债的利差,扩大了10BP。

因为这两个债券都是3年的,这句话的意思也就是说,次高等级政府机构债的信用风险发生变动,所以导致spread扩大了10BP。

体现的是credit premium。


但是这道题不选credit premium,选term premium。


因为当经济变动的时候,对于highest-quality bonds,它最主要的利差变动来自于term premium,而不是credit premium。

所以讲到dominant source的时候,依然选term premium


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