NO.PZ201511190100000201
问题如下:
Discuss how Gerber displayed availability bias with one example. Determine the implications of availability bias for financial decision making and describe one way Gerber could overcome the bias.
选项:
解释:
Availability bias, a cognitive error, is an information-processing bias. Individuals exhibiting this bias will assess the likelihood of an outcome based on how easily they can recall the information. Gerber exhibits this bias in two ways:
• Although Gerber felt the foundation’s investment in ABC was high, he decided that Ludwigs’ involvement and their past success justified the investment in ABC. The information on the past success of Ludwigs’ investments came easily to mind.
• Gerber believed 100 percent of the foundation’s portfolio in the health care industry was appropriate, most likely because of his past experience as an analyst in the industry. It is easier for Gerber to recall information from his past than to develop a diversified investment portfolio. Investors who exhibit availability bias may limit their investment opportunity set, may choose an investment without doing a thorough analysis of the stock, may fail to diversify, and may not achieve an appropriate asset allocation. Gerber exhibits all of these tendencies when he is evaluating the foundation’s portfolio.
The implications of this bias lead the portfolio to be undiversified, and as a result, the portfolio holds assets that may not be appropriate. Gerber is only investing in pharmaceutical companies. The following is a summary of issues with the foundation’s portfolio:
• No thorough analysis regarding investment in ABC.
• A limited investment opportunity set; invested only in the health care sector.
• An undiversified portfolio.
• An inappropriate asset allocation; invested only in equity.
Gerber could overcome this bias by developing an appropriate investment policy strategy, with a focus on appropriate goals (short- and long-term), and having a disciplined approach to investment decision making. An investment policy statement would help provide discipline and would alert Gerber and his team that he really has only considered investments that he is familiar with. Further, Gerber and his investment team should consider the asset allocation within the portfolio.
如题。感觉这道题答案特别长,如果是考试遇到,最好最精简的答案是怎样的呢?