No.PZ2016062402000047 (选择题)来源: Handbook
A risk manager estimates daily variance htht using a GARCH model on daily return rt:ht=α0 +α1rt−12+βht−1, with α0=0.005,α1 =0.04,β=0.94rt:ht=α0+α1rt−12+βht−1,withα0=0.005,α1=0.04,β=0.94.
The long-run annualized volatility is approximately
The long-run mean variance is h=α01−α1−β=0.0051−0.04−0.94=0.25h=1−α1−βα0=1−0.04−0.940.005=0.25. Taking the square root, this gives 0.5 for daily volatility. Multiplying by 252252, we have an annualized volatility of 7.937%.
请问这道题的daily volatility算出来都是0.5 (50%)了,为什么乘以根号250算出来的annualized volativity只有7.937%,题目也没说这个0.5应该是带百分号的。 求解惑。