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kat · 2016年05月26日

虽然问过,但我仍然觉得书上说的意思是fedmodel 里E1/p0忽视了growth,不是T-bond没考虑growth

原版书173

EXAMPLE 10

Fed Model Questions



2. Why might the earnings yield be considered a poor measure for the true worth of equities?


Solution
to 2:


The forward earnings yield measure used in the Fed model to assess the worth of
equities fails
to accurately capture the long-term growth
opportunities available to equity investors. Although studies show that the
dividend yield has been the major determinant of long-term equity returns, the
impact of earnings growth has been significant and arguably should not be
ignored.

1 个答案
老师答案

可能是我之前没有明白你想表达的意思。你之前不是说growth这个因素会使得:E1/P0算出来的没有考虑growth,就会低于T-bond,所以P0更容易被推导出高估。这样肯定是不对的,因为确实E1/P0没有考虑到进一步的长期可持续的增长,但是T-bond也没有考虑增长啊。

书上这句话是说E1/P0这个收益率作为股票收益率的衡量本身就有问题,因为没有考虑sustainable growth rate

何旋hexuan · 2016年05月26日

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