NO.PZ201512181000007205
问题如下:
Based only on Exhibits 2 and 3, it is most likely that under:
选项:
A.Scenario 1, Bond 2 outperforms Bond 1
Scenario 2, Bond 1 underperforms Bond 3.
Scenario 3, Bond 3 is the best performing security
解释:
C is correct.
The change in value of a bond is inversely related to a change in yield. Given a bond priced at B with duration D and yield change of Δy, the rate of return or percentage price change for the bond is approximately given as follows: ΔB/B ≈ -DΔy/(1 + y). Under Scenario 3, interest rates decrease by 20 bps. In an environment of decreasing interest rates, the bond with the highest duration will have the greatest positive return. Bond 3 has a duration of 10.2, which is greater than that of both Bond 1 (duration = 1.3) and Bond 2 (duration = 3.7).
你好小助手,这道题我做对了,但我的思路是这样的:在场景1和2里,利率都上升了,代表yield curve inverted了,那么持有长期的bond收益率就会低。 在场景3里,利率下降了,代表yield curve 是upward的, 那么持有长期就盈利更多,所以bond 3会outperform.
我这样理解这个题,对吗?