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逢考必过过过过过过 · 2022年07月19日

问一道题:NO.PZ2020021601000018 [ CFA II ]

问题如下:

Judith Yoo is a financial sector analyst writing an industry report.

Part of Yoo’s analysis focuses on Company XYZ, a global commercial bank, and its CAMELS rating, risk management practices, and performance.

To assess Company XYZ’s risk management practices, Yoo reviews the consumer loan credit quality profile in Exhibit 3.

Based on Exhibit 3, the trend in impairment allowances is reflective of the changes in:

选项:

A.

impaired assets.

B.

strong credit quality assets.

C.

past due but not impaired assets.

解释:

C is correct.

Impairment allowances have increased proportionately to the increases in the amount of past due but not impaired assets, which may be in anticipation of these past due assets becoming impaired. Impaired assets have decreased each year while strong credit quality assets have increased each year, which suggests lowering impairment allowances as a result of improving credit quality of these financial instruments.

2015 to 2016 change in impaired assets: (9,345/10,235)-1=-8.7%

2015 to 2016 change in strong credit quality assets: (327,345/320,340)-1=2.2%

2015 to 2016 change in past due but not impaired assets: (2,314/2,058)-1=12.4%

2015 to 2016 change in impairment allowances: (-4,500/-4,000)-1=12.5%

2016 to 2017 change in impaired assets: (8,804/9,345)-1=-5.8%

2016 to 2017 change in strong credit quality assets: (338,948/327,345)-1=3.5%

2016 to 2017 change in past due but not impaired assets: (2,823/2,314)-1=22.0%

2016 to 2017 change in impairment allowances: (-5,500/-4,500)-1=22.2%

没懂这道题的点,公司计提减值的比例变大了,那不是状况变好了吗?不是都源于超期没有计提的资产啊?因为超期没计提坏账的资产占比其实下降了啊……
2 个答案

袁园_品职助教 · 2023年05月28日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


对的,是同比,感谢指正

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袁园_品职助教 · 2022年07月21日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


不是,计提减值的不是比例变大,其实是计提的金额变大了。一般来说,银行确定的计提比例是不变的,比如说他会定逾期一年的贷款计提50%,这个50%并不经常变。所以计提的金额从4500变成了5500,环比增加了22.2%(5500/4500-1),所以是需要计提减值准备的贷款变多了,所以状况是变坏了。

这道题的点,在于我们要分析坏账贷款变多的来源是哪里。减值的allowances,不仅仅是超期的贷款要计提,只要贷款都是需要计提的,只不过计提的比例不一样。比如,一般的贷款是计提年末贷款余额的1%,关注类贷款是2%,次级25%,可疑50%,损失类100%。所以我们要对应的看这些贷款的变化,来确定减值准备增加时由什么贷款增加造成的。

我们看选项,strong credit quality ,这个贷款从2016年327345变成了338948,环比增加了(338948/327345-1=3.54%)贷款资产增加了3.54%,如果计提比例不变,那么减值的金额增加也就是3.54%。但是实际却增加了22.2%,说明不是strong credit quality造成的。

impaired asset 环比反而是减少的(8804/9345-1=-5.79%),所以也不是这个。

past due but not impaired assets环比增加了(2823/2314-1=22%)和整个减值准备增加的22.2%最符合。所以选C选项,past due but not impaired assets

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

Infinite · 2023年05月27日

老师YOY不是环比 是同比吧?

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