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sion · 2022年07月07日

非预期的购买力上升不是超出预期的通胀吗,为什么说是低通胀(通缩)呢。

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NO.PZ202206070100000201

问题如下:

Grey’s statement regarding the impact of RiteVal’s inflation scenario is most likely:

选项:

A.incorrect because of his comment about real estate. B.correct. C.incorrect because of his comment about equities.

解释:

Solution

A is correct. In deflation, real estate experiences downward pricing pressure (negative) and bonds benefit from improving purchasing power (positive). Unexpectedly low inflation (or deflation) will put downward pressure on expected rental income and property values, especially for less-than-prime properties, which may have to cut rents sharply to avoid rising vacancies. Therefore, Grey’s comment about real estate is incorrect. In equilibrium, inflation at or below expectations is a positive for equities. The comment about equities is correct.

B is incorrect. Grey’s statement is wrong as stated above.

C is incorrect. Grey’s statement about equity returns is accurate.

题目考察的是通胀/通缩对于不同资产的影响。在通货紧缩时期,房地产面临价格下行的压力,而债券则受益于购买力的提高。非预期内的低通胀(或通缩)将给预期的租金收入和房产价值带来下行的压力。尤其是那些标的不太好的房产,它们可能会大幅降低租金,以避免空置率上升。因此,Grey关于房地产的评论是不正确的。总的来说,达到或低于预期的通胀对股市都是有利的。所以题目中关于股票的评论是正确的。

非预期的购买力上升不是超出预期的通胀吗,为什么说是低通胀(通缩)呢。

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2022年07月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


题目有这么一句话,

they believe that a near-term period of deflation will surprise many investors but that the current central bank policy will eventually result in a return to an equilibrium expected level of inflation.

这就表明当前的经济环境是位于通缩的阶段。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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NO.PZ202206070100000201 问题如下 Grey’s statement regarng the impaof RiteVal’s inflation scenario is most likely: A.incorrebecause of his comment about reestate. B.correct. C.incorrebecause of his comment about equities. SolutionA is correct. In flation, reestate experiences wnwarpricing pressure (negative) anbon benefit from improving purchasing power (positive). Unexpectey low inflation (or flation) will put wnwarpressure on expecterentincome anproperty values, especially for less-than-prime properties, whimhave to cut rents sharply to avoirising vacancies. Therefore, Grey’s comment about reestate is incorrect. In equilibrium, inflation or below expectations is a positive for equities. The comment about equities is correct.B is incorrect. Grey’s statement is wrong stateabove.C is incorrect. Grey’s statement about equity returns is accurate.题目考察的是通胀/通缩对于不同资产的影响。在通货紧缩时期,房地产面临价格下行的压力,而债券则受益于购买力的提高。非预期内的低通胀(或通缩)将给预期的租金收入和房产价值带来下行的压力。尤其是那些标的不太好的房产,它们可能会大幅降低租金,以避免空置率上升。因此,Grey关于房地产的评论是不正确的。总的来说,达到或低于预期的通胀对股市都是有利的。所以题目中关于股票的评论是正确的。 就算是flation,对质量高的房地产也没损害啊,flation不只是对low quality的reestate有损害吗。。。。

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