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shyconan · 2022年07月04日

No.PZ201511190100000405 没看懂

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201511190100000405

问题如下:

With regard to Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s research analysts, which of the following biases is most likely to be present in the analysts’ data?

选项:

A.

Confirmation bias.

B.

Availability bias.

C.

Self-attribution bias.

解释:

A is correct.

Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tendency for people to misread evidence as additional support for an initial hypothesis. Confirmation bias is a potential bias for analysts conducting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive dissonance that described the tendency to search for, or interpret, information in a way that confirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The additional information may not be analyzed in a rigorous way, but it can nevertheless appear to make the judgment or forecast more likely by sharing some of its general characteristics.

没看懂题,这是说如果有了分析师的支持, J会出现什么偏差么?

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2022年07月05日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1

这道课后题很多同学都反应看不懂题目,其实很正常,主要是因为:题目出的不好

出题人设计的题目问题,问法不直接,反而把很多同学引到别的分析思路去了,而且有点考查偏记忆的成分

2

这道题想考查的知识点是 Analyst Biases in Conducting Research

参考题干 "if she knew that more than one of Garnier’s research analysts supported it."

侧重在分析师的报告,背景是分析师做研究时可能会出现的偏差,包括 confirmation bias,请参考基础班讲义 P121

B、C 不选,是因为原版书在介绍这个知识点的时候,并没有提到这两个偏差

3

这也是我说为什么这道题出的不太好的原因,因为这道题考查偏差的方式,有点偏纯记忆了,并不是最经典的考查行为偏差的方式,即根据主人公的言行举止去分析判断

咱们遇到这种题目,不用纠结题干,只要把考点顺带复习一下即可

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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NO.PZ201511190100000405 问题如下 With regarto Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s researanalysts, whiof the following biases is most likely to present in the analysts’ t A.Confirmation bias. B.Availability bias. C.Self-attribution bias. A is correct.Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tennfor people to misreevinaitionsupport for initihypothesis. Confirmation biis a potentibifor analysts concting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive ssonanthscribethe tennto searfor, or interpret, information in a wthconfirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The aitioninformation mnot analyzein a rigorous way, but it cnevertheless appeto make the jument or forecast more likely sharing some of its genercharacteristics. 老师好 “\"if she knew thmore thone of Garnier’s researanalysts supporteit.\" 这句怎么听起来是在责备人家 ,就是说如果Johnson知道有G的researanalyst 支持 ,她的投资策略会增加, 之所以没增加 是因为她不知道有analysts支持? 有点感觉是错了怪人家意思,就是选C 的感觉?哪里分析错了?谢谢。

2022-07-11 17:18 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 如果本题按照助教的说,主要是围绕分析师分析数据会出现的偏差,为什么B、C不选?

2021-12-22 11:09 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 这道题目关于confirmation basis和availability basis的区别没看明白。 看助教回答说分析师支持Johnson自己的股票所以是confirmation basis,如果是这样我理解。因为说明分析师confirm了Johnson已有的决定。 但题目中没说分析师支持的是Johnson已经有的股票啊,只是说分析师看好的股票Johnson愿意多承担风险。这不就是相当于Johnson愿意接受分析师推荐的股票,是availability basis么?

2021-10-08 21:15 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 有点没太懂这道题想问什么~ 麻烦下~~ 怎么会冒出analysts' ta的字眼呢?

2021-09-05 21:35 1 · 回答