技术分析三要素

问题如下：

Discuss how Murimi can use her technical skills to devise the strategy

选项：

解释：

In forming a market view on such turning points in future exchange rate movements (e.g., peaking in the US dollar) or timing-related position entry and exit points, market technicians follow three principles: (1) Historical price data can be helpful in projecting future movements, (2) historical price patterns have a tendency to repeat and identify profitable trade opportunities, and (3) technical analysis attempts to determine not where market prices should trade but where they will trade.

Thus, when devising a volatility strategy, Murimi can use her technical skills to time entry and exit points of positions. She can identify patterns in the historical price data on the US dollar, such as when it was overbought or oversold, meaning it has trended too far in one direction and is vulnerable to a trend reversal. She would appropriately position US dollar trades to maximize potential returns from volatility shifts that could be associated with US dollar exchange rate movements.

中文解析：

在对未来汇率变动的转折点(如美元见顶)或与时间相关的持仓进入和退出点形成市场观点时，市场技术人员遵循三个原则:(1)历史价格数据可以帮助预测未来的走势，(2)历史价格模式有一种倾向，即重复和确定有利可图的交易机会，(3)技术分析试图确定市场价格不应该交易在哪里，而是它们将交易在哪里。

因此，在设计波动策略时，Murimi可以使用她的技术技能来确定头寸的进入和退出点。她可以从美元的历史价格数据中识别出模式，比如美元何时处于超买或超卖状态，这意味着美元在一个方向上的趋势太过明显，很容易出现趋势逆转。她将适当调整美元交易头寸，以最大限度地利用可能与美元汇率变动相关的波动性变动带来的潜在回报。